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Only 10 percent of devices will use 4G by 2017

Cisco says video consumption will drive bandwidth usage
Wed Feb 06 2013, 14:12
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NETWORK INFRASTRUCTURE VENDOR Cisco has said that only 10 percent of wireless connections will be 4G in 2017 but they will account for 45 percent of traffic volume.

Cisco's latest Visual Networking Index claims that mobile internet use will balloon by 2017, however 4G connectivity will be used by relatively few people. The firm said that global mobile data traffic will exceed 10 exabytes in 2017 but that only 10 percent of connections will use 4G networks.

According to Cisco those who have 4G connections will account for 45 percent of its 10 exabyte per month forecast, meaning that the extra bandwidth that comes with 4G connectivity will be heavily used. The firm said that two-thirds of all mobile internet traffic will be video by 2017, making it the killer app for 4G smartphones.

Cisco said that average mobile network connection speeds will increase by 700 percent by 2017 to 3.9Mbit/s, but it forecast that even four years from now only 41 percent of mobile devices will be able to connect to an IPv6 network. The firm's IPv6 prediction is particularly disappointing, as the next generation IP stack with its vastly larger address space can be very useful to accommodate growth in the number of mobile devices.

Cisco said that mobile data traffic from tablets will continue to grow, consuming 10 percent of global data traffic in 2015 and one exabyte per month in 2017.

For several years Cisco has been saying that video is the key driving force behind increased network bandwidth, so it's not surprising to see its forecast relative to smartphones and tablets. However the firm's prediction that only 10 percent of connections will be 4G provides a glimpse of both the availability and cost of high speed mobile wireless services up to 2017. µ

 

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