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Windows Phone 7 might overtake IOS in three years

Android is on the upswing
Fri Jan 20 2012, 10:37

CRYSTAL BALL GAZERS at IHS have predicted that Microsoft's Windows Phone 7 (WP7) mobile operating system will overtake Apple's IOS in 2015.

The firm has released a report estimating that WP7 will squeeze into second position in terms of market share in shipments. It said that this will be largely down to the efforts of Finnish firm Nokia.

Wayne Lam, senior analyst for wireless communications at IHS said, "Combined with Nokia's efforts to drive the development of the Windows Phone ecosystem, the Lumia 900 and its successors will help Microsoft to reclaim its No. 2 ranking in smartphone operating system market share in 2015."

Microsoft will only be 0.1 per cent ahead of its fruit themed rival with a 16.7 per cent share. This will represent a gain of 14.8 per cent market share for WP7 and a loss of 1.4 per cent for IOS.

Meanwhile IHS estimates predict that Google's Android operating system will steadily grow over the coming years. In 2015 IHS predicts it will boast a healthy lead over the competition with 58.1 per cent market share, a growth of 10.7 per cent.

IHS predicts that other mobile operating systems, including Research in Motion's Blackberry OS, Samsung's Bada and Symbian will collectively lose market share between now and 2015, falling from 32.7 per cent to just 8.6 per cent. µ

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Comments
HTML 5

I PREDICT GENERIC PHONES THAT RENDER HTML 5 WILL TRAMPLE ALL OTHER PHONES, ANDROID INCLUDED.
WE DONT NEED APPS ANY MORE, BITCHES.

posted by : SHOUTER, 23 January 2012 Complain about this comment
Follow the money

And if Apple had "sponsored" the market study by IHS the conclusions would have been entirely different. The way you make money as a market analyst is to tell your client what they want to hear.

posted by : SV Guy, 22 January 2012 Complain about this comment
the other posters have summed it up

1.unlikely
2.too far into the future to predict "innovations" in the tech sector
3.no analysis to back up the claim, other than vague rhetoric bout Nokia working hard

Wayne Lam and his team are the perfect example of parasites who leach off society but contribute nothing of value back.

An unemployed person who lives off the government contributes equally to society with Wayne Lam, but costs us a lot less.

posted by : richard, 21 January 2012 Complain about this comment
Fuckin' Morons

Anyone who makes predictions like this to an accuracy of 0.1% clearly sets themselves up for ridicule.

posted by : Mavis Plootie, 21 January 2012 Complain about this comment
Micro$oft sucks in mobile terms

It will arrive later. Only one manufactor gonna risk losing money making us believe WP7 is the very best...yeah right! Right now, even with Nokia, the future king is going to be Android in the smartphone wars. Dont care whats going to be second. Both of them gonna loose because its closed source vs open source. Apple will be the rich guys phone, WP7 will be the Nokia guys phone, everything else will be Android. Simply, DROID DOES !

posted by : Machete, 21 January 2012 Complain about this comment
If Apple does nothing...

The problem with ridiculous predictions like this is that they consider that Apple will stall where it is now, while only Microsoft will innovate in phones. Apple is likely, as a corporate entity, to do all in its possible to stay ahead of Microsoft's Windows Phone by releasing newer, attractive hardware (iPhone 5, anyone?) and newer software (iOS) to go along with it. I agree, that if Apple does nothing, Windows Phone does have a chance at passing iOS, but the likely hood of that... I would not bet on it!

posted by : Alex Pyper, 20 January 2012 Complain about this comment
huh?

"might"?
i "might" save the world from banking tyranny and governmental corruption

does that make worthy news too?

posted by : flappy paddler, 20 January 2012 Complain about this comment
shouldn't that be winphone8?

I can't see winphone7 even being around in 3 years, let alone overtaking Apple.

posted by : Leo Maxwell, 20 January 2012 Complain about this comment
Crazy

Considering the dismal share that WP7 has right now, it is crazy to expect such a large shift in the market share especially when the company in question does not have a strong record in that area. Will WP's share increase? Probably.

posted by : slap, 20 January 2012 Complain about this comment
Pigs are far more likely to fly!

Look out for lots of flying pigs over the next 3 years. They will pose a great risk to many things, not least civil aviation.

posted by : The Ginge, 20 January 2012 Complain about this comment
aboutus
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