It is hard to believe that a man is telling the truth when you know that you would lie if you were in his place - H.L. Mencken
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Android will take 45 per cent of smartphone market share by 2016
IN YET ANOTHER SHOW OF SUPPORT for the Android operating system, ABI Research has forecast that 45 per cent of the smartphone market will belong to the little green robot by 2016.
Google's mobile operating system shipped 69 million units in 2010 and its high growth is expected to continue over the next five years to make up nearly half of the total market by 2016.
Rival platforms will not do as well, but Apple's IOS will see growth from its current 15 per cent market share to 19 per cent by 2016, thanks to the introduction of new Iphone and Ipad products.
Bada will grow to 10 per cent, but Windows Phone 7 will struggle. ABI Research said that it will need to have "incredible success" with its Nokia deal or it will barely get higher than seven per cent of the market by 2016, which puts it at the bottom of the chart. This prediction starkly contradicts IDC forecasts that the Microsoft operating system will have the second largest market share by 2015.
RIM will lose further market share, dropping from 16 per cent to 14 per cent in five years time. ABI Research said that RIM "has found its niche", but the consumer market, where RIM is not as strong, will grow much faster. µ
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The only two OSes left in the market by 2015 will be Android and iOS.
How is running Android apps a selling point for Blackberry? If Blackberry needs Android apps as a selling point, then that is an acknowledgement of the overwhelming strength of Android - not the other way around.
Point of fact RIM knows their fate is sealed already, and that's why they're going to release Blackberry Messenger for other platforms and just forget about making phones at all. They'll even drop their own OS efforts for Android, or stop making phones altogether and focus on services (which is the smart thing to do - there's no point in competing with Free when that Free is good enough {Free doesn't have to be the "best" OS}).
Microsoft will stubbornly soldier on with Windows Phone, though they have a habit of killing their projects in the crib when those products disappoint. The bottom line is Microsoft either learns to leverage its position in the desktop productivity and console gaming spaces to gain share in the phone sector, or they fade into oblivion when the phone sector takes over the gaming and desktop productivity spaces (mostly by re-establishing OpenGL as the graphics standard and by offering "good enough" free alternatives to MS Office).
The future belongs to software being given away, with training and maintenance being sold to end users (aka the Linux model).
Blackberry OS7 will mop the floor with droid as soon as it's out in late 2011.
Why?
1.BBOS7 will be compatible with droid applications so the software base will be even greater than droid.
2.QNX being usedn in the OS is faster, more stable, and better at multitasking.
Just look at the reviews of BB Playbook vs Ipad2. it demolishes the Ipad2.
As soon as we see dual core Arm chips in smartphones it's lights out for droid, and apple in the mobile sector.
It's no surprise that Microsoft Windows Phone will never succeed.
Microsoft's nose is rubbed in the pooh, because even humble little Bada OS will beat Windows Phone 7. In fact, Bada is beating Windows Phone 7 already.
Microsoft will do a platform reset, ditch Windows Phone 7, and then use its desktop Windows 8 in phones. That will also fail.