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Analyst says Google's Chrome OS will bury Windows

On netbooks
Fri Dec 31 2010, 10:13

TELECOMS ANALYST Steve Sechrist has shuffled his tarot cards to foresee what the future has in store for Google's Chrome operating system.

He predicts that the free Chrome OS will displace the Vole's Windows OS on netbooks. This implies that Microsoft will be forced to give away its flagship desktop operating system for free in order to support sales of its other products, like Office.

Sechrist said that Google's Chrome OS is not just a stand-alone netbook OS but a piece in a large ecosystem puzzle that is looking to topple Apple and Microsoft. He claimed that Google's stripped down operating system will make money because it is not burdened with legacy drivers and resource draining middleware code.

Sechrist's first impressions of the Chromebook were glowing. He said that Google has finally delivered on the long promised "Instant-on" feature that has eluded Bill Gates and his army of engineers for decades.

Microsoft will have to compete with the economics of free, as Google is offering its Chrome OS free to hardware manufacturers, which will eventually destroy the Vole's core business model.

The Google plan is not just hitting the OS side of Microsoft business model, but the lucrative office suite business as well, Sechrist claims. Chromebooks will come empowered with video capabilities and online office-like functions too, using the collaborative-based Google Docs.

He said that while Microsoft might not be too worried at the moment, since after all the Vole's Windows 7 operating system has done well, ultimately the company cannot survive in a new world dominated by innovators like Google. µ

 

 

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What about...

What about all the hardware attachments for devices such as printers, scanners, cameras, etc...

What about the drivers required to attach to them? Will the people who produce these devices create drivers? It took many years for them to finally make these devices compatible with Mac OS, and still not as many are.

What about games? I don't see high end games being played on a Google OS tablet.

Where do store your music and movies? Internal storage? USB? Cloud?

I think this iteration will be useful to some people, but it won't put much of a dent is MicroSoft. Maybe several years from now as it grows and becomes better supported, but M$ still has businesses and entertainment that this could not possibly touch, And they still have time to come out with something that competes.

If I were MicroSoft, I would be going the way of Apple, stop trying to showhorn Windows version X into everything and start making different types of OS that will fit and perform better on the intended hardware.

posted by : Patrick, 03 January 2011 Complain about this comment
Oh Neat!

I tried it; I liked it. Very simple Google-branded Linux with only one "Save As" location: the Google cloud. Perfect for people who crave living dangerously on the edge of data disaster.

posted by : Doug Glass, 03 January 2011 Complain about this comment
@SHOUTER

Well, I guess with your technical expertise, you'd find it difficult to use "Google search" to fix the "zoomed-in" iPad issue.

After a quick search, the directions are to use three fingers to tap on the screen two or three times to unzoom it.

Also, maybe you should also check that the Chrome web browser and Chrome OS are entirely different things. I think the "compelling advantage" is cloud computing, and if you're not familiar with the technology/terminology, I would suggest you research on it.

Then again, you're just an ANALyst. Apologies for typing too much jargon on this comment.

posted by : ERS, 03 January 2011 Complain about this comment
Android isn't Linux

"the world has been waiting for Linux with a decent graphical font end. this is call ANDROID."

1: The world hasn't been waiting for this - a small group of geeks have been hoping for it.

2: Android is built on top of the Linux kernel, sure, but everything else about it is Java. Saying Android runs on Linux is like saying your car runs on a certain brand of gasoline. It's only true because that's what you happen to put in the tank. And it's completely irrelevant to Android's position in the marketplace.

posted by : BrianS, 02 January 2011 Complain about this comment
Chrome dead on arrival

As a long time industry participant, I can sense when things have the magical intensity and creativity to succeed. chrome is dead on arrival. the world has been waiting for Linux with a decent graphical font end. this is call ANDROID. and android is going to take linux from negligible share of users to a huge share that will challenge MS.

Android is going to come up from the bottom end devices and work its way to bigger machines. windows is coming down from above, and struggling mightily to run on handhelds.

however if CPU speeds keep increasing and memory prices continue to drop, MS may actually get Win 7 to run okay on a handheld.

posted by : edward, 01 January 2011 Complain about this comment
legicky

I'm not sure I like having an OS that wasn't hacked run on my computer, all that legit stuff is icky and comes with tracing and tagging.
And that's assuming they'd dump the cloud model, and the damn everything-in-a-browser crap, which they would need to to even be considered by a sane person.

@BB People write on notebook/netbooks, and writing you simply cannot do smoothly on a phone, I mean real writing not a twitter or SMS message.

posted by : W.-, 01 January 2011 Complain about this comment
Analists are expensive idiots...

Who say whatever somebody that pays them want to hear.
Also, why Google Chrome? Ubuntu works very well and runs already all the stuff.
Google Chrome is a Linux just as Ubuntu...so why wait?

posted by : Bas, 01 January 2011 Complain about this comment
STORY DOESNT REALLY SAY ANYTHING

SO AN ANALYST SAID SOMETHING, BUT THE STORY DOESNT EXPLAIN WHY HE SAID IT OR WHO HE IS AND WHY ANYBODY SHOULD PAY ATTENTION TO HIM.
BECAUSE IM TOO AM AN ANALYST AND I SAY CHROME BROWSER IS A MEMORY HOG AND CHROME OS HAS NO MARKET SHARE AND NO COMPELLING ADVANTAGE. AS WELL I ALSO SAY THE NETBOOK FORM FACTOR IS SLOW AND USELESS. HEY I GOT TO TRY AN IPAD AT FUTURE SHOP TODAY, HERES MY ANALYSIS: IT WAS STUCK IN 'ZOOM IN' MODE AND I COULDNT FIGURE OUT HOW TO UNSTICK IT, BECAUSE THE ONLY BUTTON ON IT DIDNT SEEM TO DO ANYTHING. USELESS PIECE A CRAP.

posted by : SHOUTER, 01 January 2011 Complain about this comment
The ChromeOS / Google Cloud *can* replace Windows, but only time will tell whether it *will*

I think it's entirely possible for Google's ChromeOS / Cloud services to replace Windows / Office / native apps, but only time and the voice of the customer will tell whether it actually happens.

Google is hammering its position - this is secure and Windows isn't, this is inexpensive and Windows isn't, and so on. But displacing Microsoft isn't a slam dunk on that basis alone. The *real* apps have to be there. For example, the Cr-48 currently doesn't appear to be capable of accessing *world-class* media editing capabilities in the cloud. We're talking *Adobe Creative Suite*, not workflow-hostile open source toys that can't be used because of intellectual property issues.

posted by : M. Edward (Ed) Borasky, 01 January 2011 Complain about this comment
I don't think so...

this analyst needs to get smacked across the head and wake up to reality.

web based isn't always the best. it assumes you have constant internet access. it also assume that business is interested in this... really do you think business will give up the smooth running compatibility of being 100% Microsoft? I don't think so... at the local Uni they switched to linux... and you have no idea the problems it's caused. also anyone notice that google's results have steadily gotten worse over the last half year?

also I'm a visually impaired user. and I've tried to use many of google's products, like Docs, Android, chrome browser - guess what? I can't use them! they have no assistive tec, and there OS is the same way... while I realize this a industry wide problem (except apple). it really says "we don't care about you". even open source Ubuntu has limited support (it's horrible, but they tried). when the Ipad launched I could go to the apple store buy one and use it. I STILL can't use anything android.

when I need to move to the cloud (and when the conditions are right - I'll be looking at a company that has at least tried (MS and apple).

if google wants my support.
1. they need to look at reality of the now
2. allow me to use your products.

posted by : yuio, 01 January 2011 Complain about this comment
@David

I do believe in cloud computing period. Everything I have is on at least 4 hhds.
Os take a long time to develop so it is to early to tell about chrome. It took Linux several years to be my desktop choice but now I won't part with it.
Anything is better than windows in my opinion.
Actually I don't use smart phones or tablets. I have one netbook but even that screen is to small to be of any use to me. No matter how good these devices are I am not interested at looking at a tiny screen.

posted by : Scott, 31 December 2010 Complain about this comment
And do anything useful?

Do people actually do anything useful on these netbooks and tablets? It seems they're only useful for casual or entertainment tasks, and easily supplanted by more powerful smartphones which aren't so bulky. I find it pain enough to do much work on a laptop, let alone these goofy devices that are designed first and foremost for surfing the web. I just don't see this Chrome OS really making great inroads into the computing sector aside from wasting time.

posted by : BB, 31 December 2010 Complain about this comment
Hmmm

@ Scott yes you could live without Winblows BUT how secure would you feel if all your docs were in a cloud under the control of the Chocolate factory and also know that even if you have deleted from your computer it will ALWAYS be there in the cloud. Personally i'll stick to HDD's internal and external thanks. And yes I am using Windows 7

posted by : David, 31 December 2010 Complain about this comment
Stupid Analysts

Analysts say a lot of stupid things. It seems like we get reports like this all the time. Chrome OS basically subtracts all client-side processing making the system just a web terminal. I can't see that supplanting Windows in the Office or at Home. Maybe on tablets but I expect that Android is likely to kill of Chrome OS before it even gets started.

posted by : Lazy Person, 31 December 2010 Complain about this comment
Chrome OS only has a home on Google Powerpoints...

By this time it should be obvious to any technically minded person that the Chrome OS has no home, except on Google Powerpoints being flogged to the same folks who never bothered to look deeper into Enron.

The situation is quite simple. Android and potentially Meego are filling the small device to tablet/MID space. Windows and -- to a far lesser degree -- various Linux flavors are at the other end of the spectrum.

A third (fourth?) set of specs, requirements and development environments will be difficult to sell to the bean counters at the various device makers. Hence they'll stick with what's selling: Android and Windows.

(And while Meego is late to the party, it stands to benefit if Google starts holding back Android to promote Chrome OS, potentially driving adoption to Meego rather than Chrome OS.)

posted by : aki009, 31 December 2010 Complain about this comment
I can live without windows

There are many better OS over windows, and yet we STILL have to pay for it when we buy a computer. Hopefully some day we will have a choice.And please don't tell me you can get your money back or other ways to avoid MS, You can build a desktop but you can't build a good notebook. If that day ever comes it won't be to soon for me. I can't even stand windows 7. Just a prettier pile of junk.

posted by : Scott, 31 December 2010 Complain about this comment
Re: tablet competition

Yeah, try using word processor on a tablet. I don't get the idea of tablets being something more than a gadget. Too big for a phone, too crippled to seriously work with.
On the other hand I prefer to carry around a 10' netbook than lower specced 15' laptop. 13' lappies are the way to go though, but not so cheap.

posted by : Da_, 31 December 2010 Complain about this comment
Forest, trees

This assumes that netbooks aren't about to be cannibalized at both ends by lower specced laptops and Tablets.

posted by : Peter Chan, 31 December 2010 Complain about this comment
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