THE WORLD WIDE WIBBLE will slow to a crawl in two years unless ISPs and telcos start investing in infrastructure, someone reckons.
Macworld quotes a study by the Nemertes Research Group, which reckons that a flood of video and other web content is going to flood the Interweb by 2010.
Unless telcos invest about $137 billion in new capacity then everything will go brown and your broadband will slow to modem speed, the report warned.
The telcos are planning investments in infrastructure, but the report says that they only want to spend about half of what they need.
In the US backbone investments of $42 billion to $55 billion will be needed, Nemertes said.
Nemertes came up with its figures by applying something that is a bit like Moore's Law to the pace of internet software development and dividing by its shoe size.
Although core fibre and switching/routing resources scale nicely, Internet access infrastructure, especially in America, is pretty wobbly.
More here. µ
Isn't that what BT are investing for the internet? Wireless is the future, probably some sort of shared hardware/software option like the femtocell devices.

Local network devices linking to each other to provide a super-internet locally. Of course we will still need international connections that travel where we cannot place wireless devices (oceans, mountains etc).
this is not about the endpoint to user connection its about the user-to-ISP and ISP-to-ISP connections, e.g the adsl local exchange where your area terminates to the first router to the ISP backbone routers from the ISP backbone routers to other providers etc.
we are talking minimum 10gig to 250GB backbones here and routing thousands of connections a second
WHAT! In the UK it's already dieing we have speeds which started off probably in Tokyo 10 yrs ago. I swear for 8meg broadband you should get more than 340kbps when downloading and thats only if it's a well known website like microsoft for downloading offline set-up security fixes.
I think a system that distributed all that video and other web content that is going to flood the Interweb by 2010 locally could solve this problem. I mean what if the first person that downloaded such a novelty as “video content” could share this with some other people locally? I bet that the ISPs could help this process b y caching popular content and let the people share that amongst themselves. We could call it people to people transfer or something.
This is just another one of the studies done by a telco-funded group wanting more government tax dollar handouts for "infrastructure" that will just end up as shareholder dividends. The telcos have been doing this for years.

Seriously, I love the Inq and will continue reading, but it'd be nice if sometimes the stories were researched instead of just regurgitated from a press release.
Well this just has to be the proof Ted Stevens has been looking for...
yeah this study was funded by the 'internet innovation alliance'...

http://www.internetinnovation.org/AboutUs/Members/tabid/59/Default.aspx

so just liken this warning to some drivel you'd read at moveon.org.