According to SIG Equity Research, confirming earlier speculation, Nvidia could announce its Intel chipset as early as the first quarter of 2004.
But, said the firm in a report to its customers, Nvidia may not need to get its licence direct from Intel, but because of its manufacturing agreement with IBM could get a front side bus licence as Big Blue is close to Intel as well.
That way, reckons the firm, Nvidia could miss out paying the $5 royalty everyone else has to pay, but would have to make its chipsets using the IBM foundry.
This is an interesting theory but we wonder if it holds water? We kind of doubt it. The relationship between Nvidia and IBM Microelectronics is one thing. And a relationship between IBM and Intel is another thing. If Nvidia was allowed to short circuit the process, Intel would likely face some interrogation from other people that pay the licence - not least ATI.
Joe D'Elia, senior microprocessor analyst at iSuppli, said: "This was exactly the way that Cyrix was able to bypass Intel licences in the past. Its foundries were Texas Instruments, IBM and ultimately STMicro and they all had/have cross licensing agreements with Intel. This didn't stop Intel taking them to court which eventually found in Cyrix's favour so the legal precedent is there".
Meanwhile, SIG Equity Research claims that Nvidia has "lost momentum" because of strong competition from Via with the KT600 which is lower in price. It estimates the average selling price for Nforce 2 is about $24 for the high end chipset, while Via undercuts it. ยต