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Moore's Law will go on forever -- Moore

Optimism unbounded
Tue Feb 11 2003, 12:59
Gordon-s--moore--pic-courtesy-intel-corporation INTEL CO-FOUNDER GORDON MOORE has predicted that chips will continue their exponential increase in power for the next ten years. Moore is famous for his 1965 theory that the number of transistors on a chip will double every eighteen months.

The theory became known as Moore's Law after being proven right over many years. It points to a future where "Even if we get to the point where we can't squeeze any more [transistors] in there, we'll be putting billions of transistors on a chip," according to a report from The Associated Press. If his law holds true, we can expect processors to have tens of billions of transistors after ten years.

By then, an Intel microprocessor may have a mind to match a bumble bee.

Although there may well be problems ahead, Moore is confident that the industry has the imagination and creativity to overcome them. "It gets complicated and expensive, but the technological solutions seem to be there," said Moore after giving a keynote speech at the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Solid-State Circuits Conference.

He pointed towards rosy years ahead with the semiconductor industry equalling the growth in the world's gross domestic product by 2017 provided it can keep up the pace. ยต

See Also
Moore's Law irrelevant, says AMD's Ruiz
Fabs to cost $70 billion each in 2011?
Intel's Grove warns of the end of Moore's Law
Eleven laws arrive to displace Moore's Law nonsense
How to cook an egg on a Pentium II
Nvidia thrashes Moore's Law claim

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